Thursday, November 20, 2008

Nov 20, 2008 Update

The SPX fell further than I thought it would down to 776.76 this morning. The rally is now targeted for SPX 975 early Monday, the 50 day Ex M.A and down trend line off the previous tops.

GDX also fell to below 18 but is still holding up better than the stock market. A move to above 24 is likely by Monday.

A strong rally should now ensue over the course of today, Friday and early Monday for the stock market and mid session Monday for the gold mining shares.

Down side target for Dec 23 was SPX 788 and that is now moved lower to an unspecified target.

We will exit our long position on strength Friday PM NAV if we get close to the 930's. Gold mining share long will be exited Monday PM NAV if all goes according to Hoyle.